Investment Property Archives - Katie Brady Real Estate

2020: Year End Review – Five Year Trends and 2021 Forecast

January 20, 2021/in Asking Prices, Average Sales Price, Buyers, Condos, Days on Market, Foreclosure Properties, High End Real Estate, Inventory Levels, Investment Property, Jackson Hole Real Estate, Jackson Hole Report, Market Report, Market Reports, Market Statistics, Multi-family, New Listings, Over $1 million, Past Sales, Properties under $500, Sale to List Price Ratio, Sales Volume, Sellers, Single family homes, Supply/Demand, The Jackson Hole Report, Town of Jackson, WY, Year in Review/by Molly Stewart

Real Estate Sales – Past 5 years

Well, 2020 was a year for the record books as statistics from this past year dwarfed all previous years. MLS sales had not exceeded 500 per year over the last 5 years and almost reached 650 in 2020 (a 37% increase over the previous 4 year average). Sales volume experienced even bigger gains in 2020. Looking back, we saw annual sales volume increasing from $634 million to $676 million from 2016 to 2017. The market took a jump in 2018, when sales volume increased more than $250 million from the previous year – a staggering 38% increase (with only a 13% increase in sales). The market stayed steady in 2019, with a similar level of sales and slightly less sales volume (about a 5% drop), a healthy sign after a very strong 2018. Enter 2020, where sales volume skyrocketed – up to $1.8 billion – more than DOUBLE the average annual sales volume of the previous 4 years. To put it in perspective: 2020 saw as much sales volume as 2018 & 2019 COMBINED!

As to be expected, the average sales price also experienced a record breaking increase, with the trend following that of sales volume: Average sales price hovered around $1.5 million in 2016 & 2017, jumped up to $1,892,000 in 2018 and cooled slightly in 2019 to just above $1.8 million. The average sales price in 2020 was $2.8 million, a $1,000,000 increase from 2019 and a 68% increase over the previous 4 year average. Wow! These record breaking increases were a result of unprecedented demand, as many out of town buyers flocked to Jackson Hole and competed with local buyers on property purchases. What resulted were many multiple offer situations, contributing to 170 properties selling at or above their listing prices in 2020 (more than 1 in every 4 sales). Compare that to the previous 4 years, where the highest percentage was 23% in 2018 (and only 17% last year). It’s interesting to track the various price points over the past 4 years. The $1-3 million segment follows the overall market growth, mirroring increases in overall sales and volume. In contrast, the luxury segment saw oversized growth in 2020. Back in 2017, there were just 42 sales in this high end segment. In 2018, sales in this segment jumped along with the overall market, recording 76 sales. After seeing a similar level of sales in 2019, this segment exploded in 2020 with 186 sales over $3 million, more than double the number of sales in the previous two years combined. On the other end of the spectrum, sales under $500,000 dropped off considerably in 2020, representing less than 5% of all sales.

Inventory Trends – Past 5 years

In a year of unprecedented demand, the Jackson Hole market saw a decline in inventory levels in 2020. Looking back over the past 5 years, new listings in 2016-2018 ranged between 613-632 per year. As a result of a busy 2018 in sales, sellers responded and new listings jumped in 2019, with nearly 700 new listings hitting the market. In 2020, inventory levels actually dropped, with barely enough new listings (685) to replace the 643 sales in 2020. It’s interesting to analyze the gap between sales and new listings over the past 5 years. In 2016 & 2017, new listings outpaced sales by 170 properties each year. In 2018, inventory tightened a bit, with 138 more listings than sales. In 2019, more listings hit the market, an increase in supply which held sales (and dollar volume) steady, as new listings outpaced sales by 203 properties. Compare those trends to 2020, where the gap between listings and sales was only 42, by far the lowest supply to demand (sales) we’ve seen yet.

Despite seeing fewer listings in 2020, the listing volume increased significantly from 2019, recording 17% more in volume (with 11 fewer listings). Looking back over the last 5 years, listing volume has increased each year, growing by roughly $250 million in the past 2 years in particular. The year 2020 saw a $325 million increase from 2019, pretty amazing considering there were actually fewer new listings in 2020! After increasing 12% in 2018, and holding steady in 2019 at just under $2.5 million, the average listing price jumped significantly in 2020 – up to more than $3.2 million, a 30% increase over 2019.

By all accounts, 2020 in the Jackson Hole real estate market was one for the record books. Annual sales were up 30% and overall sales volume in 2020 was more than double that of 2019. The average sales price was $1 million higher than in 2019. Fewer listings came onto the market, but did so at higher prices as listing volume increased 17% and the average listing price nearly reached $3.2 million.

The global pandemic had buyers from all over the country, many of whom could now work remotely, escaping to less populated areas with access to the outdoors. Many had dreams to one day move to Jackson Hole, a favorite vacation spot, and the pandemic encouraged them to act. We saw buyers urgently shopping for Jackson Hole real estate at all price points, adding tremendous demand to a market with, for the most part, a permanently limited supply of properties.

Now with the vaccine rollout and a hint of normalcy on the horizon, do people still need to escape? Is it a permanent lifestyle change or just a temporary exodus? Do these buyers miss the city enough to move back? Even if they do move back, will we see that inventory come back on the market? Or, will many elect to keep their newly purchased property as a vacation home? How much inventory (supply) do we need to see a real effect on pricing? Right now, the Jackson Hole market has the lowest level of inventory in recent history. Pre-pandemic, demand for Jackson Hole properties was strong. Even if we go back to previous levels, there will still be enough demand to eat up existing low inventory levels. Regardless of the demand changes, we would need to see supply increase significantly for pricing to be affected.

Looking back over the past 30 years, Jackson Hole real estate has seen, on average, 6-8% annual appreciation, with a 5-10% correction every 5 years or so. The Jackson Hole market has been growing at a strong pace for the past 5+ years, with 2020 being an explosive year. For example a newly built home in Town sold for $675,000 in 2014, sold again for $1,050,000 in 2018 and was just listed for $2,150,000 – and is under contract! Some will argue that these levels of appreciation simply cannot continue and at some point we will see a correction. In larger markets and pockets in the nation that may be true, but will we see a correction in Jackson Hole? Again, to see any affect on pricing we need to see a sharp drop in demand or a significant increase in supply. At this point, it’s hard to imagine either of those happening. We are still seeing buyers from across the country move their money from the stock market into real estate. Jackson Hole will continue to be a draw for many who value a sense of community, outdoor recreation and mountain living.

I think 2021 will be another strong year for Jackson Hole real estate. Record low inventory levels will make it challenging for all buyers, creating competition and multiple offers. We may see fewer sales because there are simply less options on the market, but pricing and values will remain strong.

Track your property’s value in today’s market. Be familiar with comparable sales, but also focus on current inventory levels, which may have more impact on market value. Properties that are priced with those two things in mind (vs. putting an unreasonable price tag on it) are receiving the most interest and selling quickly. (Talk to Katie about an aggressive yet accurate pricing strategy.)

Strategize for mass market exposure. There are many buyers out there with limited options to buy. As a seller, you will have the most success if you can reach them all at once. Finding one buyer will not be difficult, your goal should be to bring all the interested buyers to the table at the same time in order to achieve your desired terms of sale. (Talk to Katie about her unique strategies to obtain mass market exposure.)

Be prepared for multiple or quick offers. Think about what terms are most important to you: price? leaseback? quick closing? Focus on buyer’s enthusiasm and ability to preform.

Prepare your home for sale: De-clutter, clean up, work on deferred maintenance items, etc. Move in ready and remodeled properties are receiving the most attention. Discuss which (if any) updates will produce a higher return. (Have Katie join you for a tour of your home to discuss what you can do to increase your home’s value.)

Know and follow the market. What are the recent comps? How are current inventory levels? Are you learning about properties before they hit the market? (Talk to Katie to make sure she is on the look out for soon to be listed properties for you.)

Determine what you want and be ready to act quickly. Know that there are many buyers for the same property. Get all your ducks in a row now. How will you position yourself to be the best candidate in a multiple offer situation? (Talk to Katie about proven strategies to “win” in these competitive situations.)

If you need to sell your home to buy something else, prepare your home now so that you will be ready to list as soon as you find the right property. Be prepared for things to move quickly when that happens. Explore options that would allow you to purchase before selling (i.e. bridge financing, leasebacks, etc.) (Ask Katie to help you crunch numbers and brainstorm options.)

2020: Year End Listings Review – Jackson Hole

January 19, 2021/in Asking Prices, Average Sales Price, Buyers, Condos, Days on Market, Foreclosure Properties, High End Real Estate, Inventory Levels, Investment Property, Jackson Hole Real Estate, Jackson Hole Report, Market Report, Market Reports, Market Statistics, Multi-family, New Listings, Over $1 million, Past Sales, Properties under $500, Sale to List Price Ratio, Sales Volume, Sellers, Single family homes, Supply/Demand, The Jackson Hole Report, Town of Jackson, WY, Year in Review/by Molly Stewart

New Listings in 2020

Slightly fewer new listings came onto the market in 2020 than in 2019. For many years, the Jackson Hole real estate market has suffered from low inventory levels (and high demand) and this year was no different. Through the first two quarters, new inventory trailed 2019 by 40 listings. After demand for Jackson real estate exploded in Q3, more sellers were encouraged to put their properties on the market for sale and new listings outpaced 2019 in the second half of the year. Despite seeing a total of 11 fewer new listings in all of 2020, the dollar volume of those 2020 listings was significantly higher. New listing volume outpaced 2019 in 3 of the 4 quarters, finishing the year with $2.175 billion worth of new inventory – a staggering $323 million increase in new listing volume (with 11 fewer listings!). As a result, the average listing price jumped to over $3.1 million in 2020 (from $2.66 million in 2019). The median list price also increased in 2020, up over $2 million for the first time since I began tracking stats in 2013. An interesting thing happened in August of 2020: monthly sales started outpacing monthly new listings, meaning new properties hitting the market were not keeping pace with property purchases – further diminishing already low inventory levels and putting additional upward pressure on pricing.

Not surprising, 70% of new listings in 2020 were in excess of $1 million, with this segment seeing 32 more listings than in 2019. Breaking it down further, the largest shift occurred in the luxury market ($3+ million), which saw 83 more listings in 2020. All other segments under $3 million actually saw a decrease in new listings in 2020, with the $1-3 million price point seeing the largest drop (51 fewer listings than 2019). The breakdown in property type was consistent with 2019, so the shift in listing price can’t be explained by simply “more single family home listings” – prices were up across the board, with all property types seeing an increase in average listing prices. That being said, we saw the largest spike in single family home listings come at the start of the third quarter, no doubt contributing to the record breaking sales numbers this past summer.

2020: Year End Sales Review – Jackson Hole

January 18, 2021/in Asking Prices, Average Sales Price, Buyers, Condos, Days on Market, Foreclosure Properties, High End Real Estate, Inventory Levels, Investment Property, Jackson Hole Real Estate, Jackson Hole Report, Market Report, Market Reports, Market Statistics, Multi-family, New Listings, Over $1 million, Past Sales, Properties under $500, Sale to List Price Ratio, Sales Volume, Sellers, Single family homes, Supply/Demand, The Jackson Hole Report, Town of Jackson, WY, Year in Review/by Molly Stewart

Real Estate Sales in 2020

2020 was a tale of two markets – pre-pandemic and the early stages of the shut down and the resulting Jackson Hole real estate boom that followed. The first two quarters of 2020 actually lagged the 2019 market, which was a very strong year. Sale transactions were down in Q1 and Q2, while sales volume kept pace with 2019 through the second quarter. In mid-June, the Jackson Hole real estate market started to pick up and then exploded in the summer. The second half of 2020 saw 200 more sales than in the second half of 2019, an increase of 70% over 2019. Sales volume skyrocketed, dwarfing sales volume levels from 2019, recording $898 million MORE in sales volume in the second half of the year vs. 2019, an increase of 165%! After a modest increase in Q1, the average sales price was roughly $1 million higher each quarter through the end of 2020, ending at $2.8 million for the year 2020. The median sales price was also up in 2020, increasing $437,000 to just under $1,600,000.

Similar to 2019, the majority of property sales in 2020 occurred in the $1-3 million price point. However, the largest shifts in price point occurred in the high and low ends of the market. Homes selling for above $3 million represented nearly 30% of all sales in 2020, while that same segment accounted for only 15% of all sales in 2019. On the other end of the spectrum, after representing 14% of all sales in 2019, sales under $500,000 accounted for less than 5% of sales in 2020.

The average sale to list price ratio was 97% or higher in 8 out of 12 months in 2020, as increased demand weakened buyers ability to negotiate on price. In that vein, 170 property sales in 2020 were at or above their listing prices, meaning more than 1 out of every 4 sales sold for full price (or above). Compare that to 2019, when just 17% of all sales were at or above the listing price.

Single family homes accounted for more sales in 2020, representing 52% of all transactions (vs. 46% in 2019). Fewer condo and townhome sales occurred in 2020 (30% of all sales vs. 40% in 2019), while land sales got a boost in 2020 – accounting for 18% of all sales (up from 14% in 2019).

New Listings in 2020

Slightly fewer new listings came onto the market in 2020 than in 2019. For many years, the Jackson Hole real estate market has suffered from low inventory levels (and high demand) and this year was no different. Through the first two quarters, new inventory trailed 2019 by 40 listings. After demand for Jackson real estate exploded in Q3, more sellers were encouraged to put their properties on the market for sale and new listings outpaced 2019 in the second half of the year. Despite seeing a total of 11 fewer new listings in all of 2020, the dollar volume of those 2020 listings was significantly higher. New listing volume outpaced 2019 in 3 of the 4 quarters, finishing the year with $2.175 billion worth of new inventory – a staggering $323 million increase in new listing volume (with 11 fewer listings!). As a result, the average listing price jumped to over $3.1 million in 2020 (from $2.66 million in 2019). The median list price also increased in 2020, up over $2 million for the first time since I began tracking stats in 2013. An interesting thing happened in August of 2020: monthly sales started outpacing monthly new listings, meaning new properties hitting the market were not keeping pace with property purchases – further diminishing already low inventory levels and putting additional upward pressure on pricing.

Not surprising, 70% of new listings in 2020 were in excess of $1 million, with this segment seeing 32 more listings than in 2019. Breaking it down further, the largest shift occurred in the luxury market ($3+ million), which saw 83 more listings in 2020. All other segments under $3 million actually saw a decrease in new listings in 2020, with the $1-3 million price point seeing the largest drop (51 fewer listings than 2019). The breakdown in property type was consistent with 2019, so the shift in listing price can’t be explained by simply “more single family home listings” – prices were up across the board, with all property types seeing an increase in average listing prices. That being said, we saw the largest spike in single family home listings come at the start of the third quarter, no doubt contributing to the record breaking sales numbers this past summer.

2019: Year End Review – Jackson Hole

January 18, 2020/in Asking Prices, Average Sales Price, Buyers, Condos, Days on Market, Foreclosure Properties, High End Real Estate, Inventory Levels, Investment Property, Jackson Hole Real Estate, Jackson Hole Report, Market Report, Market Reports, Market Statistics, Multi-family, New Listings, Over $1 million, Past Sales, Properties under $500, Sale to List Price Ratio, Sales Volume, Sellers, Single family homes, Supply/Demand, The Jackson Hole Report, Town of Jackson, WY, Year in Review/by Molly Stewart

After an explosive 2018 that saw a 13% annual increase in sales and a staggering 38% increase in dollar volume, many predicted that the market would slow in 2019, many thought the market was in need of a correction. The number of real estate sales did not slow down in 2019, recording a nearly identical number of sales as 2018. After under performing 2018 in the first two quarters, transactions increased in Q3 and Q4 of 2019, netting a total of 493 sales* (vs. 494 sales in 2018). What did change in 2019 was the overall dollar volume, dropping 6% percent from 2018, to $890,000,000* in 2019. After starting the year off strong (2019 Q1 sales volume was up 50% from 2018 Q1), the second quarter of 2019 really under preformed 2018, recording just over half of the sales volume seen in the 2nd quarter of 2018. While the second half of 2019 recorded similar numbers to the same time in 2018, the overall dollar volume of 2019 still came up $45 million short of 2018. With a similar level of sales and less dollar volume, it’s no surprise that the average sale price followed a similar trend (high in Q1, low in Q2 and pretty even in Q3 & Q4) with the end of year average dropping $85,000 (4.5%) to just over $1.8 million. In analyzing the price point breakdown in 2019 vs 2018, a few trends become clear:

The high end market saw a similar level of sales in 2019 (74 vs 76 in 2018). Digging deeper, shows that overall dollar volume of this segment was down 3.5% in 2019, accounting for $412 million in total volume.
Sales seemed to shift from the locals market ($500,000 – $1,000,000), which was down 17%, to the $1-3 million range, which was up 9% from 2018.
The most dramatic change occurred in the sub $500,000 market, where nearly 50% MORE sales occurred in 2019. The 24 additional sales in this price point can be almost entirely explained by the sales of the Virginian Village condos. Condominiumized by the developer several years ago, these 1 and 2 bedroom units located in the heart of Jackson were completely renovated with new appliances, flooring, kitchens, baths, etc. After selling several units FSBO, the remaining units were put on the market with Jackson Hole Real Estate Associates and accounted for 26 sales between Feb – Dec 2019. These condos were in high demand, selling one after the other, with 1 bedrooms selling between $302,000 – $325,000 and 2 bedrooms selling between $402,500 – $435,000.

This influx of inventory and sales in the entry level market, can help explain why, despite a decrease in average sales price, the average monthly median sales price in 2019 was actually up, increasing to $1.15 million from $1.09 million in 2018. With more sales in the bottom end of the market, the median (which measures the middle of the market sales) was pushed up in 2019 because of the additional 26 sales on the low end. In analyzing the property type breakdown, it shows that single family home sales decreased 5%, representing 46% of all sales in 2019, while townhome/condo sales increased in 2019, up 6% representing 40% of all sales. Again, most likely a result of the 26 Virginian Village condo sales in 2019. Land sales represented a similar amount of sales in 2019 (14% vs 12% in 2018).

*Note: All statistics are pulled from Teton Board of Realtors Multiple Listing Service for residential sales/listings in Teton County, WY for 2019, excluding fractional sales and duplicate entries. It is estimated that sales outside of MLS account for an additional 20% of transactions/volume. Contact Katie for more details.

Buyers had more options in 2019, as 696 new residential listings entered the market, compared to 632 in 2018, an increase of 10%. New inventory levels outpaced 2018 in the first 3 quarters of 2019, with an especially strong Q3 that saw 40 more new listings than the same period in 2018. While the number of new listings increased 10%, the dollar volume of those new listings jumped up 15%, with $243 million more in dollar volume than in 2018. New listing volume outpaced 2018 in 3 of the 4 quarters, with a very strong Q2 seeing $200 million more in listing volume than in Q2 2018. So, not only was more inventory entering the market in 2019, but it did so at higher price points. As a result, the average listing price increased 4.5%, up to $2.66 million in 2019. Sixty-five percent of 2019’s new listings were in excess of $1 million, with the majority (44%) in the $1-3 million range. Fifty-seven properties entered the market priced under $500,000, with the Virginian Village condos accounting for roughly half (28) of the listings. Single family homes accounted for just over 50% of new listings in 2019.

New Listing :: Peaceful Setting in Cottonwood Park

August 6, 2019/in Buyers, Development Opportunity, Distressed Properties, Featured Listing, Featured Listings, Fixer Upper, Housing, Investment Property, Jackson Hole Mountain Resort, Jackson Hole Real Estate, New Listings, Over $1 million, Property Search, Sellers, Wilson, WY/by Molly Stewart

Relax and unwind in this private and peaceful setting in Cottonwood Park. This ideal end unit location affords unexpected privacy and is surrounded by mature trees and large areas of green grass. The entire complex received new roofs, siding, lighting and landscaping. (Assessment paid in full by seller at Closing.) Additional improvements include: new front and back decks, new windows and exterior doors, along with an updated bathroom, new water heater, fresh paint and cove heating. The spacious and open floor plan includes custom bookshelves and hardwood floors, while the plat allows an owner to build a 500 sq ft addition. Plenty of dedicated owner and overflow guest parking in addition to an large one car garage. Great local neighborhood close to parks, schools and pathways.

New Listing :: Move-in Ready in Town of Jackson

July 15, 2019/in Buyers, Development Opportunity, Distressed Properties, Featured Listing, Featured Listings, Fixer Upper, Housing, Investment Property, Jackson Hole Mountain Resort, Jackson Hole Real Estate, New Listings, Over $1 million, Property Search, Sellers, Wilson, WY/by Molly Stewart

Bask in the outdoors and Snow King views from your private back deck and fenced yard area in the afternoon, while enjoying morning coffee on the covered front balcony.

This light and bright townhome features stainless steel appliances, granite counter tops and bamboo flooring. Two spacious 2^nd floor bedrooms with vaulted ceilings take in views of Snow King and the surrounding buttes, while the updated bathroom includes a large soaking tub and heated floors.

Enjoy clean and comfortable living in this well maintained, move in ready home with fresh paint throughout, brand new carpet and a fresh stain on the back deck.

New Listing :: Spacious Eagle Village Condo

July 9, 2019/in Buyers, Development Opportunity, Distressed Properties, Featured Listing, Featured Listings, Fixer Upper, Housing, Investment Property, Jackson Hole Mountain Resort, Jackson Hole Real Estate, New Listings, Over $1 million, Property Search, Sellers, Wilson, WY/by Molly Stewart

This spacious Eagle Village condo includes 2 bedrooms, each with their own full bath, an open kitchen plan, gas fireplace, separate dining room, ample closets, and a private deck taking in south facing Munger Mountain views. Built in 2002, these units offer 2 covered reserved parking spaces, additional storage closet and in-unit laundry. One of the most unique features of Eagle Village, is the elevator access provided to the unit from the large underground parking garage. Enjoy the conveniences of being a part of the Smith’s Plaza, with immediate access to Flat Creek, the pathway system, grocery store, all while being in close proximity to the Jackson Hole schools system.

For Sale :: Charming Classic Cabins in Wilson, WY

June 21, 2019/in Buyers, Development Opportunity, Distressed Properties, Featured Listing, Featured Listings, Fixer Upper, Housing, Investment Property, Jackson Hole Mountain Resort, Jackson Hole Real Estate, New Listings, Over $1 million, Property Search, Sellers, Wilson, WY/by Molly Stewart

The charming main cabin is 840 sq feet with 2 beds/1 bath, an updated kitchen with granite counter tops, updated bathroom, new paint, a cozy wood burning stove, and over 600 sq feet of decking taking in mountain views and the aerial Tram at JHMR. The smaller rustic cabin is 533 sq feet with 1 bed/1 bath, a wood burning stove and covered front porch.

The property also includes a third historic cabin from the famous Crescent H Ranch in Wilson and a large storage shed. (*Note: Crescent H cabin is not on a foundation and cannot be used as a third dwelling (per zoning).)

Unique Multi-Family Investment Opportunity in the Town of Jackson

March 24, 2014/in Featured Listing, Featured Listings, Investment Property, Jackson Hole Real Estate, Multi-family, New Listings, Town of Jackson/by Molly Stewart

A short drive around the Town of Jackson will illustrate the absence of large multi-family developments. This can be explained by the overall lack of vacant parcels of land and/or the current Town zoning which does not allow large scale development in many areas. Further, over the years, many older apartment buildings have been converted into condominiums where each unit is owned individually.

Therefore, this 12-unit multi-family apartment building presents a truly unique opportunity for investors looking for a good return and a steady cash flow. The Raver’s Apartment complex offers six 2 bed/1.5 bath units and six 1 bed/1 bath units, all with great views of Snow King Mountain. (The two bedroom units have nice south facing decks.) The building sits in a convenient location on the corner of Snow King Ave and Millward, close to hiking trails, skiing at Snow King, and located only several hundred feet from a START bus stop. Built in 1973, the building has been very well maintained with several improvements in 2013 including a new roof, new windows, and new sliding glass doors.

South facing decks with views of Snow King

The building is fully occupied and currently generates $126,000 in annual gross rents. Based on historical expenses of roughly $30,000 per year (which includes property taxes, water/sewer, trash removal, insurance, maintenance and repair, business licenses and a property management fee), the current list price of $2,150,000, equates to a 4.5% capitalization rate (return).

Where the opportunity lies however, is in the fact that the current rents are quite under market. Currently the 2 bedroom units rent for $1,000 a month, where the going rate for similar units is closer to $1,200 – $1,400 a month. Similarly, the one bedroom units rent for $750 a month. It is very difficult to find any 1 bedroom units in Jackson for under $900 a month. Tenants are on month-to-month leases and when brought up to market, the property should generate just over $165,000 per year, which could push the cap rate up to above 6.00%. Note that these numbers conservatively assume purchasing the property at the current list price. Obviously the return would be even more attractive if a buyer was able to negotiate a discounted purchase price.

Click HERE to view the full listing with more information and more photos of the property.

Please contact me if you are interested in reviewing my cash flow analysis for this investment (in excel). I’m happy to walk you through the model and discuss the numbers as well as set up a time to view the property.

Year in Review: Market Trends and Sale Statistics for the Jackson Hole Real Estate Market in 2013

January 8, 2014/in Condos, Distressed Properties, Entry level market, Inventory Levels, Investment Property, Jackson Hole Real Estate, Luxury Property, Market Report, Market Reports, Market Statistics, Real Estate Sales, Skiing Property, Snow King, Teton Village, Town of Jackson/by Molly Stewart

Over the course of 2013 I have been tracking many different sale and market statistics which all help paint a picture of the real estate market in Jackson Hole over the past year. Below are some of the major take-aways from the Jackson Hole Real Estate Market in 2013:

Distressed Property Sales: Teton County experienced the highest levels of distressed property sales (bank sales and short sales) in the spring and early summer of 2013. In April, there were 8 distressed sales, which represented 15% of all property sales that month. May and June also saw a significant amount of bank and short sales, however by the end of the summer, these types of properties seemed to disappear from the market all together as September did not see a single distressed sale. Since then, each month has had their own share of sales, suggesting that while the majority of this shadow inventory has been absorbed, there still remains a trickle of bank owned property coming onto the market. Click HERE to see Distressed Properties currently for sale in Teton County.

Investment Property Sales: Overall, the sale of investment property in Teton County increased throughout 2013. Investment property is defined as property that can legally be short term rented and is concentrated in areas such as The Aspens, Teton Village and near Snow King Resort in the Town of Jackson. Interestingly this type of property experienced more sales near the beginning of both the summer (May) and winter (Nov) tourist seasons suggesting that investors were planning to benefit from Jackson’s two busiest seasons. Recent improvements made to both Teton Village and Jackson Hole Mountain Resort and Snow King Resort may also help explain the increased interest and real estate activity for these property types. Click HERE to see short term rental/investment property currently for sale in Teton County.

Average Days on Market: The average days a property sits on the market before selling can tell us many things about the speed of absorption, the level and quality of inventory and the motivation of both buyers and sellers. When inventory levels are low (i.e. not many properties on the market) we tend to see sales of property that has been on the market for quite some time as buyer’s options decrease. On the other hand, when inventory is low well priced properties can be snatched up quickly (and not be on the market for very long at all). From the chart below, we can understand that during months when sold properties spent a longer time on market before selling, these properties were selling at more of a discount (or a lower Sales Price to List Price ratio). Conversely, when the monthly sales had a lower average of days on market before selling, buyers were receiving LESS of a discount (or purchasing at a HIGHER Sale/List Price ratio).

Inventory by Price Point: Earlier this year I analyzed how the available inventory levels (and pending sales) compared to actual closed sales, based on various price points. When we look back on 2013 as a whole, a few trends emerge. There were 440 closed sales in Teton County in 2013 (excluding land sales and fractional sales). Currently there are only 230 properties available for sale, or about a 6 month inventory. Property sales in 2013 were spread somewhat evenly across various price points (Under $500,000 / Between $500,000 – $1 million / Over $1 million – See Chart below.) This is also in contrast to available inventory, where the majority of properties (59%) are priced over $1 million despite this price point accounting for only 30% of 2013′s sales. Conversely, properties selling for under $500,000 made up 36% of all property sales in 2013, however only 12% of the current available inventory is priced under $500,000 (29 properties to be exact).

Please also consider following me on social media for Monthly Market Updates and up-to-date market statistics, Hot Picks and real estate news and trends.

Jackson Hole Real Estate Trends – Past 5 years

Market Analysis

Market Analysis

2021 Forecast

Advice for Sellers in 2021:

Advice for Buyers in 2021:

Note: All statistics are pulled from Teton Board of Realtors Multiple Listing Service for residential sales/listings in Teton County, WY for the dates specified above. It is estimated that sales outside of MLS account for an additional 10-20% of transactions/volume. Contact Katie for more details.

2020: New Listing/Inventory Analysis

$2,175,597,500

LIST PRICE Volume

$3,176,055

AvERAGE LIST PRICE

Market Analysis

$2,043,500

AvERAGE MEDIAN LIST PRICE

70%

Listings over $1 million

Note: All statistics are pulled from Teton Board of Realtors Multiple Listing Service for residential sales/listings in Teton County, WY for the dates specified above. It is estimated that sales outside of MLS account for an additional 10-20% of transactions/volume. Contact Katie for more details.

2020: Transactions/Sales Volume – What Sold?

$1,799,973,233

Total Sales Volume

$2,799,336

Average Sales Price

Market Analysis

$1,592,167

Average Median Sales Price

18%

of Sales were Land Lots

2020: New Listing/Inventory Analysis

$2,175,597,500

LIST PRICE Volume

$3,176,055

AvERAGE LIST PRICE

Market Analysis

$2,043,500

AvERAGE MEDIAN LIST PRICE

70%

Listings over $1 million

Note: All statistics are pulled from Teton Board of Realtors Multiple Listing Service for residential sales/listings in Teton County, WY for the dates specified above. It is estimated that sales outside of MLS account for an additional 10-20% of transactions/volume. Contact Katie for more details.

2019: Transactions/Sales Volume – What Sold?

$890,085,959

Total Sales Volume

$1,805,448

Average Sales Price

Market Analysis

$1,155,979

Average Median Sales Price

14%

of Sales were Land Lots

2019: New Listing/Inventory Analysis

$1,852,044,899

LIST PRICE Volume

$2,660,984

AvERAGE LIST PRICE

Market Analysis

$1,412,500

AvERAGE MEDIAN LIST PRICE

65%

Listings over $1 million

Note: All statistics are pulled from Teton Board of Realtors Multiple Listing Service for residential sales/listings in Teton County, WY for the dates specified above. It is estimated that sales outside of MLS account for an additional 10-20% of transactions/volume. Contact Katie for more details.

Property Details

Property Details

Property Details

Property Details

Katie Brady